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Penguat
pemanasan global: Rising uap air di troposfer untuk mengintensifkan perubahan
iklim
Sebuah studi
baru dari para ilmuwan di University of Miami Rosenstiel School of Marine dan
Sains atmosfer dan rekan-rekan menegaskan meningkatnya tingkatan uap air di
troposfer--penguat kunci pemanasan global--akan mengintensifkan dampak
perubahan iklim selama dekade mendatang. Studi baru yang pertama untuk menunjukkan bahwa
konsentrasi meningkatnya uap air di atmosfer adalah akibat langsung
kegiatan manusia.
Global warming amplifier: Rising water vapor in upper troposphere to
intensify climate change
Date:
July 28,
2014
Source:
University of Miami Rosenstiel
School of Marine & Atmospheric Science
Summary:
A new study from scientists at the University of Miami
Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science and colleagues confirms
rising levels of water vapor in the upper troposphere -- a key amplifier of
global warming -- will intensify climate change impacts over the next decades.
The new study is the first to show that increased water vapor concentrations in
the atmosphere are a direct result of human activities.
...................
A new study from scientists at the University of Miami
Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science and colleagues confirms
rising levels of water vapor in the upper troposphere -- a key amplifier of
global warming -- will intensify climate change impacts over the next decades.
The new study is the first to show that increased water vapor concentrations in
the atmosphere are a direct result of human activities.
"The
study is the first to confirm that human activities have increased water vapor
in the upper troposphere," said Brian Soden, professor of atmospheric
sciences at the UM Rosenstiel School and co-author of the study.
To
investigate the potential causes of a 30-year moistening trend in the upper
troposphere, a region 3-7 miles above Earth's surface, Soden, UM Rosenstiel
School researcher Eui-Seok Chung and colleagues measured water vapor in the
upper troposphere collected by NOAA satellites and compared them to climate
model predictions of water circulation between the ocean and atmosphere to
determine whether observed changes in atmospheric water vapor could be
explained by natural or human-made causes. Using the set of climate model
experiments, the researchers showed that rising water vapor in the upper
troposphere cannot be explained by natural forces, such as volcanoes and
changes in solar activity, but can be explained by increased greenhouse gases,
such as CO2.
Greenhouse
gases raise temperatures by trapping Earth's radiant heat inside the
atmosphere. This warming also increases the accumulation of atmospheric water
vapor, the most abundant greenhouse gas. The atmospheric moistening traps
additional radiant heat and further increases temperatures.
Climate
models predict that as the climate warms from the burning of fossil fuels, the
concentrations of water vapor will also increase in response to that warming.
This moistening of the atmosphere, in turn, absorbs more heat and further
raises Earth's temperature.
The paper,
titled "Upper Tropospheric Moistening in response to Anthropogenic
Warming," was published in the July 28th, 2014 Early Addition on-line of
the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS). The
paper's authors include Chung, Soden, B.J. Sohn of Seoul National University,
and Lei Shi of NOAA's National Climatic Data Center in Ashville, North
Carolina.
Story
Source:
The above
story is based on materials provided by University of Miami Rosenstiel School of Marine &
Atmospheric Science. Note: Materials may be edited for content and length.
Journal
Reference:
- Eui-Seok Chung, Brian Soden, B. J. Sohn, and Lei Shi. Upper-tropospheric moistening in response to anthropogenic warming. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2014; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1409659111